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We provide asset administration and trust and fiduciary services to exceptionally wealthy families, their family offices and their foundations and endowments. We deliver high-touch personal service, underpinned by institutional-strength operational capabilities.
We provide asset administration and trust and fiduciary services to exceptionally wealthy families, their family offices and their foundations and endowments. We deliver high-touch personal service, underpinned by institutional-strength operational capabilities.
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Learn about asset servicing solutions including cash management, cross-border pooling, fund services for traditional, alternative and exchange traded funds, foreign exchange, global custody, investment operations outsourcing, investment risk and performance analytical services, securities lending and transition management.
Learn about asset servicing solutions including cross-border pooling, fund services for traditional and alternative funds, global custody, investment operations outsourcing, investment risk and performance analytical services, securities lending, transition management and treasury services.
Learn more about asset servicing solutions including global custody, investment operations outsourcing, fund services for traditional and alternative funds, cross-border pooling, investment risk and performance analytical services, securities lending, transition management and treasury services.
Learn more about asset servicing solutions including global custody, investment operations outsourcing, fund services for traditional and alternative funds, investment risk and performance analytical services, securities lending, transition management and treasury services.
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Weekly Economic Commentary

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Home Construction Advanced in June, But Inadequate to Declare the Recovery is Here

July 19, 2011

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Housing starts rose 14.6% to an annual rate of 629,000 in June, the first increase since March.  Construction of single-family units moved up 9.4% to annual rate of 453,000 in June, the highest level since October 2010.  These improvements in home building activity are a positive development but the level of total housing starts is about 72% below the peak registered in January 2006 (2.273 million units).  However, housing starts in the second quarter fell at an annual rate of 4.5% to 576,000 vs. a 582,000 mark in the first quarter.  On a regional basis, the Northeast (+35.1%) posted the largest gain of housing starts, while the Midwest (+25.3%), South (+10.6%) and West (+5.4%) posted relatively smaller increases.  The downside of an increase in supply of new homes is a further reduction of home prices if firms fail to increase payrolls. 
dgc 71911  1 
The annualized change in housing starts advanced one quarter has a strong positive correlation with residential investment expenditures (see Chart 2).  Based on this relationship, the 36% jump in housing building activity in the first quarter should translate into an increase in residential investment expenditures in the second quarter, while the 4.5% decline recorded in the second quarter would imply a drop in the residential investment expenditure component in the third quarter.  Residential investment expenditures fell at an annual rate of 2.0% in the first quarter. 

dgc 71911  2 

 

 

 
The opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of The Northern Trust Company. The Northern Trust Company does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of information contained herein, such information is subject to change and is not intended to influence your investment decisions.