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Markets and the Economy

Put recent portfolio performance in context with market themes, our outlook and your goals.

The Weekly Five

Lest We Forget

Following Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech and the latest employment and inflation data, markets are assigning an 87% probability of a Fed rate hike this month — up from 35% a mere two weeks ago. CIO Eric Freedman unpacks the data in this Weekly Five.

  1. What drove interest rates higher this week and what is your read on Treasury Secretary Bessent’s claim that he is “the house” with respect to the Japanese yen?
  2. What are these developments’ near- and intermediate-term capital market implications?
  3. How are markets approaching next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, and what are the read-throughs from the European Central Bank raising interest rates?
  4. What did we learn from the last vestiges of U.S. quarterly earnings?
  5. What is your latest read on energy prices and their capital market impact?

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